China’s
Burma test —Steve Tsang
China’s national interest does not require
it to prop up the Burmese junta forever. Of
course, China benefits greatly from access to
Burma’s energy and other natural resources.
But, by playing a positive role in bringing
about a successful and peaceful transfer of
power, China can secure a friendly neighbour
in Burma more effectively than with its current
policy
Burma’s peaceful protests are nearing
their tipping point, with the military junta
weighing the potential costs of a full military
crackdown. But Burma’s generals will have
little incentive to opt for an alternative to
bloodshed and repression if China continues
to provide them with support and protection
against sanctions at the UN Security Council.
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